• freagle@lemmygrad.ml
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    21
    ·
    5 months ago

    Would France have any power here? The issue is whether or not India attacks Pakistan. What happens afterward is all data. My conjecture is the US has a vested interest in India attacking Pakistan, that this flare up was engineered by the US, and I am trying to understand what the US gains from it as a way of analyzing my hypothesis

    • Eiren (she/her)@lemmygrad.ml
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      6
      ·
      5 months ago

      Intel may be part of it, but I suspect thoy wanted to try to force conflict between China and India + thoroughly corner another Muslim country, if possible.

      I suspect they had little belief Chinese tech would be on an entirely different, superior level to western tech, or they considered it a relatively unlikely worst case scenario.

      • freagle@lemmygrad.ml
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        6
        ·
        5 months ago

        I agree that the intelligence angle is only part of it. The chaos of war creates a lot of opportunities. Additionally, it can potentially shore up domestic support for Modi as a “war-time” leader, create some pretext for Indian arms mobilization, create some pretext for US “peacekeeping” forces to be deployed, etc.

        I think this conflict can do a lot for the US project, which is why I think the US may be behind it.