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Cake day: June 12th, 2023

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  • I think Biden still believes that things can swing back in the midterms or next presidential election. I don’t think he realizes that this might have been the last election that was possible to win.

    If he does something drastic, he’d probably hand even more popular support to the Republicans in general and to Trump in particular who would play victims as much as they could.

    If he does nothing, it might be the end of democracy, not just in the US but in most of the world. But he will have “accepted defeat gracefully” and considering he won’t live to see the worst of it, I imagine that’s all that matters.

    Edit: Just watched his speech. Nope, he thinks this is business as usual.



  • I would guess that she’s trying to separate the voters from the representatives, so that when someone calls out a republican politician for being racist, they have a harder time convincing their voters that she was calling them racist as well.

    Right now it seems like people see their political party as their identity, there are both democrats and republicans who do it but I’d say it is far, far more common with republicans.

    You can, and should, hold your representatives accountable when they do bad shit, regardless of whether you voted for them or not, and if your party starts standing for things that are worse than another party then you should change who you vote for.

    It’s a long road to get back from this division in the US, but I hope there’s a future where it’s possible.










  • There’s a saying that humans only understand three probabilities: 0%, 50%, and 100%. So if 90% of people who are rich were born into wealth and 90% of all people are not wealthy, what does that mean?

    Usually the knee-jerk response is to say that it’s equally easy for rich and poor to end up wealthy, or sarcastically claim that it’s supposedly impossible to become wealthy if you were poor.

    Statistically, it’d mean that while 10% of rich people were self-made, they’d only represent 1% of the overall population, meaning it’d be roughly 100 times more likely for someone who wasn’t born wealthy to remain poor.

    These are gross oversimplifications with numbers that are not based on fact, but it’s just a simple example to show that something can be possible in a system where certain people are disadvantaged and it doesn’t detract from the fact that systemic issues exist.