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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 26th, 2023

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  • I rewatch The Hobbit trilogy and LOTR (both extended) every year with my wife. I would prefer just watching a fan cut of the hobbit as I don’t think those are very good, but my wife likes them and a happy wife is a happy life.

    So I think I have seen LOTR at least 8 or 9 times and hobbit maybe 4 times.

    That still doesn’t come close to a Swanlake cartoon movie that I obsessively watched 4 times a day when I was around 5 or 6. My parents insist I must have watched it well over 100 times.







  • I’ve watched the first 3 episodes of season 2 with my wife, despite not liking season 1, but hey, it’s a Tolkien show so I will watch it regardless.

    Half the time we were on our phones, reading articles or playing some game, because this show is slow and the dialogue is pretty pointless half the time. There are no characters we are really invested in. I guess Durin the younger comes closest, but man, the character building sucks in this show.

    I will still watch it, because I’m a Tolkien nerd and I will watch it if only to bash it. I just wish there were fewer reasons to do so.




  • The first gout attack I had was the worst. I had been limping for two weeks thinking it would just go away, but it got steadily worse until it became unbearable and I went to the doctor. The diagnosis was almost instantaneous. She looked at my foot and went “Yep, gout”. It got worse for another couple of days until it slowly started ebbing away. I was basically a cripple for at least two weeks though.

    I have it better under control now, but it still plays up sometimes. Gout sucks, but also there are worse things I suppose.





  • If you want some timelines, summer 2025 is where I expect Russia to run out of steam. That’s when they will have gone through pretty much all USSR equipment they had and they are not producing nearly enough to keep up with the current rate of attrition. It will also be the 4th year of war, so also the 4th year of sanctions. Remember that when those sanctions were put into place, they immediately said it would take time before they started to really hurt. Well, they are hurting in a significant way already and the noose is only getting tighter. I think they might just make it to the end of 2025, but I don’t see them keeping up the war into 2026 unless China steps in and starts supplying military aid.

    There are a lot of aspects to this war, but I think the combination of running out of money, people and military hardware has to lead to some serious reconsideration of their approach.

    But the regime won’t survive not winning the war, so we’ll see. Just don’t expect that whomever replaces Putin will be less dangerous. They are more likely to be truly extreme, rather than only cynically so.