• ctkatz@lemmy.ml
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    8 months ago

    in 2012 uncommitted got 11% of the vote against actual human being running for reelection barack obama.

    as of this moment uncommitted is. getting just under 15%. the other actual human being running for the dem nomination has barely under 3%.

    unless all of those uncommitted voters don’t vote for biden in november I don’t see biden in any trouble, especially if those uncommitted democratic voters are made up by by around 30% of haley voters.

    what this does tell me is that there is a major bias against biden in the media, as if they are actively reporting the news to make it seem like biden has some major electoral issues when a) trump has even bigger issues than biden and b) the numbers are simply not telling that story.

    • return2ozma@lemmy.worldOP
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      8 months ago

      They haven’t counted the Arab American counties yet. Dearborn is showing unofficially 75% uncommitted per CNN.

      • ctkatz@lemmy.ml
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        8 months ago

        last report I saw via msnbc was dearborn at 56%. but even if it was 75%, it’s still not enough of a margin to really be an election concern at this point for the state overall, especially since you don’t know how many haley voters would vote biden.

        make note of the result and do your best to resolve that issue but it’s not a 5 alarm fire. that’s the most muslim and specifically palestinian area of the country by far. the congressional district might get a few delegates out of this so it’s going to be heard at the convention. but if that’s going to be the extent of the discontent I don’t think biden has to really be worried nationally.

          • ctkatz@lemmy.ml
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            8 months ago

            as of right now uncommitted is at 12.7%, and this number has been shrinking all night long. I would not be surprised if it eventually hits the same percentage of uncommitted votes that has happened in the past few primaries which is 10%.

            gaza was not the major election issue the media or rep. talib was making it out to be. it’s certainly not a major general election issue considering the alternative.

            as a fun side note marianne williamson who got out of the race a month ago is officially beating dean phillips who for some reason is still running.