Just a moment...
www.politico.com

It pops up as paywalled in Chrome, but not Firefox. Not on archive.org, so here’s a tl;dr:

"Two private polls conducted in a swing New York House district and reviewed by POLITICO — one in September and another in March — found former President Donald Trump leading Biden there by 1 point, a virtual tie. And public polls over the last four months found Biden’s lead had winnowed to just 8 points across New York — an unusually narrow gap in a state where Democrats outnumber Republicans 2 to 1.

“We’re still acting like this is a one-party state, which for pretty much 20, 25 years it has been,” Democratic Manhattan Borough President Mark Levine said. “I truly believe we’re a battleground state now.”

A Biden lead of 8 points in a state he carried by 23 in 2020 is a huge loss of support.

Current polling:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/new-york/

  • retrospectology@lemmy.world
    42·
    5 months ago

    Polling shows that people don’t hate Harris more though. In this context she’s more popular than both Biden and Trump.

    • jordanlund@lemmy.worldOPM
      32·
      5 months ago

      https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/03/14/kamala-harris-not-popular-beyond-democrats-poll/72944269007/

      "The national survey found 52% of registered voters disapprove of her job performance as President Joe Biden’s vice president.

      About 36% approve of how she’s handling the role, trailing Biden’s almost equally dismal 41% approval rating.

      Roughly 38% of Americans have a favorable view of Harris, lagging behind Biden, who is viewed favorably by 41% of registered voters. Former President Donald Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee, was viewed favorably by 40% of respondents in the poll."

      • retrospectology@lemmy.world
        21·
        5 months ago

        Perhaps look at more recent polling after Biden’sfailure in the debate, not numbers from May.

        Recent polls suggest Harris could do better than Biden against Trump, the Republican candidate, although she would face a tight contest.

        A CNN poll released on July 2 found voters favor Trump over Biden by six percentage points, or 49% to 43%. Harris also trailed Trump, 47% to 45%, within the margin of error. It also found independents back Harris 43%-40% over Trump, and moderate voters of both parties prefer her 51-39%.

        A Reuters/Ipsos poll after last week’s televised debate between Trump and a faltering Biden found Harris and Trump were nearly tied, with 42% supporting her and 43% backing him.

        [Reuters]

        She’s more popular with women and independents than Biden, which are two of the main groups Biden has been attempting to court to make up for losing the anti-genocide vote. There are no downsides, Biden’s a guarunteed loss, his numbers match up with every losing presidential candidate going back decades.

        • Zaktor@sopuli.xyzEnglish
          1·
          5 months ago

          Harris, while hindered by being in the administration, can also distance herself from Biden’s overwhelming support. She doesn’t need to say “from the river to the sea”, just being wishy washy could give some people the room to vote Democratic for other reasons.