• g0nz0li0@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    Are you suggesting that because people aren’t as excited now as they were when Biden first dropped out and endorsed Harris, she’s tanking?

    If you are, this is a bad argument. Anyone who knows politics knows her momentum was always going to slow, and polls will ebb and flow.

    The polls have shown this is a historically close election, it has been since Harris announced and will be until election day.

    • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      Her poll numbers went from flatlined to now declining. She’s not only not gaining ground, she is now losing ground.

      If you are, this is a bad argument. Anyone who knows politics knows her momentum was always going to slow, and polls will ebb and flow.

      Yeah, I’m not interested in what most lemmings think is a bad or a good argument. Most lemming are fucking idiots when it comes to politics and are just here to cheer on their team. They are allergic to reality when it disagrees with how they wish things were.

      The polls have shown this is a historically close election, it has been since Harris announced and will be until election day.

      Yeah except that they are not. Its not even close to close right now. Harris has a -5 structural disadvantage baked into the EC map. So nationally, she needs to be up by 5 to be even. She’s not up by five, she’s up by 2-3, which means she’s not even overcoming structural bias (MOE not even worth discussing here). Biden was up by +9 on election day. It came down to something like 80k total votes that gave Biden the office?

      So no. Kamala isn’t winning. She’s under performing Biden 2020. By a lot. She needs to do better or she’ll lose this thing.