I think he will, but there might be a real primary challenge.

  • Paragone@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    Action->Reaction.

    Reaction against Obama put Trump in, right?

    Reaction against Trump put Biden in, right?

    I hope Harris wins, but the world-economy is being flushed, with exponential-force, down the sewer, & NO incumbent survives that kind of thing ( backlash-vote ),

    AND as the book “The Big Sort” apparently explains, the cultural-segregation that mass-media push so hard creates intolerance.

    Which, of course, when escalated by mass media of various alignments, keeps amplifying ( feedback-loops ) until … genociding.

    The locking-Anglos-out in Quebec ( we no longer have any access to goverment phone-services in English ) is simply an earlier stage of divide-and-genocide than whan the US is in, but … it’ll get there.

    Whether unconsciously or consciously, the heads of Quebec are committed to turning Canada into another Russia/Ukraina, Israel/Palestine, Deep-South racism kind of thing, in a generation or 2, for whatever they win/gain in accomplishing that.

    IF Trump doesn’t win 2024, then Civil War begins in 2028, +/- a very-few months, & continues until the US is butchered-carrion.

    It’s far too late to save the US: the real problem is that Animals-and-Tribes-Time mode of Kahneman1 mind ( imprint->reaction ) has already successfully highjacked the country.

    As … Glubb, was it? realized, empires die at about 2.5-centuries.

    There’s a book “How to Hide an Empire” on the American Empire, so anybody who wants to pretend that all the machiavellian interventions ( remember when Iraq’s intervention backfired, because they didn’t want to be a puppet-state, & wanted self-determination? That was noticed openly in some news item or other, back then… I’d not have clued-in to it, on my own, buth then, through the years… there are puppets of lobbies, aren’t there? & these lobbies work to enforce that accountability never get near them… … whatever: if humankind isn’t viable, & Natural Selection extinguishes humankind, then humankind’s herdbeast games, bullying & majority-domination, & minority-beaten/broken, same as in herds anywhere … we were supposed to be upright-human, you know? if we failed The Great Filter, well, then too bad: we earn what we earn… )

    So, the identity of the ruling-class has sooo completely mismatched the actuality of the empire, now, that it’s incapable of surviving.

    Same as Rome, Britain’s empire, etc…

    12-13 generations, & … kaput.

    The Big ( cultural ) Sort seems to be the mechanism, but DarkHexad { narcissism / machiavelianism / sociopathy-psychopathy / nihilism / sadism } is cultivated, if not directly-grown, by privilege-caste, & … well, that’s a feedback-loop too, isn’t it?

    Concentration-of-privilege, concentration-of-wealth, which “says” “trickle-down economics”, but is gaslighting…

    which “says” “charity”, but … when you see that literally millions of DONATED $ are pocketed by the executives of the US’s United Way … that woke socialist feminist convicted-felon Yehoshua “Jesus” ( Iosa, in Roman/Latin, I’ve been told by an actual Roman-born person ) benJoseph already laced into fake-charity, 2 millenia ago…


    Part of the problem is that it isn’t a single problem: it’s actually a fractal and chaotic anti-fragile/robust mesh of problems, which all mutually-reinforce…

    Narcissism conserves “validity” & excludes all it can, to prove how “exclusive” its “validity” is, right? Anti-compassion. Sociopathy is … exactly that, isn’t it?

    Feedback-loop…

    How can “trickle-down economics”, or “compassion for the privileged-caste/class’s inferiors” ( note the contempt in their “charity”… I was born into the upper-middle-class, & it took 7+ years of accumulated homelessness for me to crack the identity-underlying-ego that that ideology/prejudice, as all “race”, “class”, & “gender” is, in social-process, enough for me to get to some kind of objective-honestly, more than a decade later… )

    The action->reaction cycle cannot be stopped, postponed, or prevented: US of A is finished.

    I hope that Kamala Harris makes this last “calm before the storm” be as spiritually-thriving as she can, enforcing an increase in state-integrity, against lobbies’ undermining of everything, but it doesn’t change the pogrom/tantrum that’ll destroy about 2/3 of the US’s population in … approximately 7y from when it begins ( that is just one of the natural human-cycles, because it’s a cycle that our unconscious-mind “works” at: it’s too “stuck” to work quicker… )

    You know how sometimes you have a grandparent or relative or friend or other-family, someone whom you really care about, & cancer/whatever’s killing them?

    & there’s nothing you can do??

    Objectively, that’s what’s happening with the US: it’s fatal, it’s implacable, only our relationship with its process, & outcome, & the way we make the process enact, can we change…

    We can’t prevent the death.

    We can’t prevent the reaping of the consequences of our previous-generations’ “sowing” carelessness in education, or in accommodating the “surrender” ( technical-only, not honest/total ) of the KKK/Confederates, who’ve now done to much of the country exactly what McDonnell Douglass’s beancounter-culture did to Boeing ( a “reverse takeover” )…

    What has been sown, is going to be reaped, to use the Christian rendition of what the older religions call “karma”.


    end of Part 1, as the Lemmy character-count blocked my commenting with the whole thing in a single entry…

    • Paragone@lemmy.world
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      5 months ago

      Beginning of Part 2…

      Here’s an example, which is different-enougn in context, that it becomes culturally easier to see the forest & the trees:

      IF the U.N. had enforced that in Palestine NO political/ideological warping/deforming of ANY civil service, of ANY social service, of ANY regulatory-process or rule, of ANY judging, enforcing, education, of ANYthing,

      essentially force-suffocating ideological ( Kahneman1 mind, mere-animal mind, read “Thinking Fast and Slow” by Daniel Kahneman & see that the whole world is forcing itself into an ocean-of-tantrum/pogrom, as ClimatePunctuation begins ramping-up through the next few decades )…

      force-suffocating ideological-highjacking & ideological-undermining, & holding that force-suffocating in-place for a hard minimum of 2 generations, possibly 4…

      ( any “leaks” that accommodate ideological warping to displace considered-reason/Kahneman2 mind massively compromise/undermine the force-suffocation of that unconscious-mind-current which wants total-dominion of our lives/world … and we let it have that dominion!

      Foolish idiocy, which costs lives… )

      So, after hard-disallowing of Kahneman1/imprint->reaction/mere-animal mind’s rule for enough generations, then the ideology/prejudice ( 2 sides of the same “coin” ) … is force retired from authority, & the objective-generations have filled-in the roles, & … then, eventually, a tipping-point is crossed, where it becomes self-sustaining/robust, see?

      Anyways, Israel AND Hamas both wouldn’t allow that, in Palestine.

      As I’ve said before, what Hamas did in their assault of Israel was very DarkHexad: they sociopathically sacrificed all Palestinians for sake of the inevitable genociding-reaction from Israel, which, of course, will enforce that the Muslim world will focus until its reaction to Isreal’s genociding becomes absolute, & then … & then the prophecy in the Christian bible, that Israel gets annihilated comes true. Sometime before 2036 it’ll happen, probably in the 2028-2036 period…

      Here’s a window into that particular bit:

      https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=Matt+24%3A11-21&version=AMP

      The “standing in the holy place” of Daniel … that was his inner place, his place of Faithing on what he knew as G-D, what I’d call OceanOfAllAwakeSouls, since my whole cosmology is different, but that particular infinity is itself…

      Anyone who stands in earned holiness within their meaning ( a hormonic of meditation, or, to phrase the same suchness from a different “angle”, a lower-harmonic of G-D: it’s itself, differnet cultures label things differently.

      It doesn’t matter that Daniel was Jewish, or Atisha was definitely not, culturally: each earned some remarkable truths, by “standing in the holy ‘place’ within their deeper meaning” and it’s the same for all: earn it, & it’s one’s own meaning.

      Fail to bother, & it isn’t, see? : )

      So, Hamas sacrificed all Palestinians’ world, for sake of a genociding that would happen later, in reaction against Israel’s genociding of Palestine & Palestinians…

      Which is more-machiavellian? Isreal of Hamas?

      Both, sadly.

      Which is more sociopathic/psychopathic?

      Both, sadly…

      you get the picture.

      There’s a “little” ebb/flow, which makes it look like the herd-beast ( our unconscious-ignorance nature ) sometimes is stronger, sometimes is weaker,

      but it’s actually that our underlying limbic/herdbeast nature is ebbing & flowing in seeming present, or seeming dominant, but it’s just the appearance that’s changing, not the underlying substance.

      Steven Pinker foolishly bet on the appearance, in “The Better Angels of our Nature”, it looks like.

      He holds that violent-aggression just diminished sooo fundamentally, that that trend must continue!

      No, he was looking at the slope of a “wave”, & falsely-extrapolating that the wave wouldn’t “return”.

      Until the tantrum/pogrom is finished, whether any survivors live, or not, our unconscious-mind’s ignorance is committed to BREAKING all our world/lives/everything to its dominion/lordhood…

      Same as any toddler.

      The fact that our ignorance can outright-kill the entire biosphere, now, isn’t sufficient to cause upright/maturity/transformation-in-our-unconscious-substance: only experience-induced-understanding can,

      & the only experience which can induce/enforce understanding of our ignorance-nature is… action->reaction… being beaten to near-death by it, until its force forces our unconscious-mind-substance to transform from impenetrable-ignorance to … among the few survivors of The Great Filter, if there are any … transforms into a kind of “sublimation”, changing humankind’s survivors into people who ARE fundamentally different from our generation…

      Russia/Ukraina, Israel/Palestine, Deep-South-white-supremacists-and-“christian”-supremacists/all-who-aren’t-white-supremacists/“christian”-supremacists, Anglophones or Francophones against the other, Yugoslavia, if you’re old enough to remember that, South Africa’s apartheid, … it’s the same damn fundamental-script, just with little variations, for centuries & centuries & centuries of our history: WE HAVEN’T CHANGED yet.

      And THAT is The Actual Problem™.

      ClimatePunctuation’s simply going to exponentially explode the intensity, the number-of-factors, the violent-reaction-to-food-insecurity, etc…

      The Perfect Storm, iow.

      See how the butchering of Russia by Putin is working? Civil-rights less & less…

      same as in Israel…

      same as in the Deep South…

      same as in the polarization in Europe, with the far-right growing strength to re-create nazism’s possession of it…

      Asia’s got its equivalents, Africa too ( did you know that Mussolini stole fascism from Marcus Garvey, a Black African nationalist? he had no problem with collaborating with the American white-supremacists: segregation was wanted by both, right? )

      Until human-nature is force-changed, profoundly/fundamentally, then the cause of all this world’s problems remains in control of the world, & the effects can appear “better” or “worse”, but the unbroken-toddler’s still driving our bus…

      Force-growing-oneself up into fundamental uprightness, facing into karma, seems the only sane method, to me…

      At least one can change one’s own Eternity, then, right?

      if everyone else among this world rejects self-transformation, because “the kingdom of god is without”, as the materialists are certain, as the parable of “the prodigal son” symbolically-represented…

      but it isn’t without: it’s within, & the only way to earn it is to conquer one’s own unconscious…

      and that is waht humankind’s ignorance won’t allow, or tolerate…

      correcting/removing the cause of all our world’s major problems…

      So, Natural Selection is going to enforce the issue into significance in the rest of this century.

      _ /\ _

  • profdc9@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    I think with all the footage of Trump, and his shallow personality, an AI will be trained to impersonate him and we’ll never be rid of him. I’m sure techbros are working on their animatronic Trump right now.

  • hperrin@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    I think if he loses in 24 and the republicans don’t learn their lesson, then they deserve to have him run again in 28.

    Also, he’s very old. He would be 82 in 2028.

  • Stern@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    Presuming he is both alive and not in jail for the rest of his life by then, I could see him make a run of it. But those are both monumental ifs.

      • roofuskit@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        The elderly tend to have some pretty severe mental decline from incarceration. He’s already spiraling. I’m not sure there will be much left of him to run if he’s in prison.

    • njm1314@lemmy.world
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      5 months ago

      Man I understand sensitivity, but getting preemptively mad that someone might mention that in 4 years a really old guy could die of old age seems weird to me.

      • Sean@lemmy.worldM
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        5 months ago

        Just a preemptive warning. I’ve seen political threads get pretty heated. ;)

      • Riccosuave@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        How would that even be against the rules? Pointing out an old guy might die is the epitome of “no shit Sherlock” posting.

  • magnetosphere@fedia.io
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    5 months ago

    Even though I’d like him to drop off the face of the Earth, I kinda hope he does run. He’ll be even less coherent. His insane rambling will be worse. He’ll have to run as an independent, because Republicans won’t bet on a losing horse again - and he definitely would lose. It’ll be a major public humiliation, and he deserves as many of those as possible.

  • flop_leash_973@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    I would hope he would fade away. But between the need for grifted money and ego I doubt he will stop until he physically can’t any more.

    • orcrist@lemm.ee
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      5 months ago

      He’s nearing that point. If he loses any steam, the far right will bail on him, and his health is already bad. Plus he has started to encounter financial issues, as we learned a few months ago.

  • P00ptart@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    I think it’s unlikely hell be alive in 2028. The problem is the people that support him now, will be. They’ll try again and again to get the things they want passed. If it’s not now, they’re patient enough to wait. They won’t stop unless they’re forced by judicial action and these people are behind bars. It’s not trump that’s the biggest issue. It’s the evil people behind him.

  • EnderMB@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    I hope so. He’ll likely run against Harris again, and assuming she doesn’t tank the economy I don’t see how he manages a win.

    The longer he clings to power, the longer the GOP go without legitimate representation that isn’t MAGA grifters. Looking at right-wing populism elsewhere across the world, you’ll see that when the figurehead loses power they often don’t have a successor lined up - and those that do end up in the shadow of the person that won’t stop clinging to the idea that they are the “chosen one”.

  • Etterra@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    I doubt it. While some people think he’ll be dead by then, I’m inclined to suspect not. However given his observed mental decline, I suspect that he’ll be even less coherent 4 years from now. He’s currently 78, and would therefore be 82 by then (birthday June 14th 1946). He’s already got a number of age-related medical issues, such as needing to wear adult diapers and said mental decline.

    Behind the scenes is be surprised if he didn’t have some cardiac problems, even minor ones, and thus was on something for them, such as blood thinners or cholesterol meds. I don’t know if it’s been verified that he’s on Ozempic, but he sure has lost a lot of weight lately and I don’t think it’s from exercising.

    I do expect that he’s never going to shut up though. If, hopefully, he loses this election, he’s not going to just evaporate. People are still going to give a damn about what his opinion is and who he endorses, especially his cult of followers, but also the less overtly extreme conservatives.

    As a general rule, cults built around a singular person, AKA cults of personality, tend to crumble into dust and fade into history once that personality is gone. However, some cults outlive that person because someone else is there to pick up the slack and reform things just enough to make a going concern of the cult. That’s how Christianity started, that’s how Protestantism started, and if you look into it, just about every other major, lasting “religion” that had branched off of the Christianity family tree. It also goes for political, cultural, and social movements, which can be cult-like without the religious aspect being an absolute requirement, although ir can be very strongly intertwined. I don’t know where the Cult of Trump will go once old age finally catches up to him, I think it’s likely that it’ll be reabsorbed into christo-facism because the two feed off of each other pretty strongly.

    • captainlezbian@lemmy.world
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      Martin Luther didn’t have a cult of personality, he more had grievances, legitimate and otherwise. I think one of the best examples though is L. Ron Hubbard and David Miscavige.

      I think the big thing here is it’s both a cult of personality and an outlet for the cultic milleau that was brewing before it found him. The satanic panic found new life in Qanon. But also I don’t think that that portion alone is powerful enough to outlive him